| Costs of motoring |
Local Transport Today |
2 Aug 2007 |
 John
Prescott failed to keep the Government's transport
promises
I was appalled by Phil Goodwin’s complacent homily to John Prescott
(“a bright man and a master at comprehending the key transport
challenges”) (LTT 472 p.17.)
In among the cosy chit-chat of Professor Goodwin’s article there
was no mention of what John Prescott promised – a reduction in
motor traffic (“otherwise I will have failed”) – and
what has actually happened on his 10 year watch as Transport Minister.
We had the collapse of the slight increase in fuel costs as soon as
the fuel tax protesters raised their head. The costs of private motoring
over the 10 years of Blair and Prescott have declined relative to the
Retail Price Index: when put alongside the factors which should be considered
when assessing the “real” cost of motoring, like increases
in average wages, GDP or house prices, the costs for the average motorist
as a proportion of income have significantly declined. No wonder we have
had something like a 20% increase in registered motor vehicles and increased
motor traffic.
Then there’s the loss of the commitment of the Road Traffic Reduction
Bill, continued road building programmes, and extension of airport capacity.
We have had an increase in use of SUVs and other gas guzzlers: prototypes
of fuel efficient cars have been available for decades but remain out
of production because of the cheap price of fuel. We have more road freight
mileage when we should be encouraging local production and consumption.
The particularly low level of cycling’s modal share compared with
other Northern European countries: of course, that was supposed to be
quadrupled in the National Cycling Strategy – which has been dropped.
One could go on. Suffice it to say that the myriad depredations of mass
car use and motor traffic are well documented, and some of the problems
associated with them – public health due to lack of exercise and
climate change – have received increased attention among professionals.
Despite all this, the promised reduction in motor traffic has actually
been an increase. Prescott said of his promise that he wanted “you
to hold me to it”. Phil Goodwin doesn’t, but some of us still
do.
But for those of us expecting civilised views from your columnists,
all is not yet lost. Garrett Emmerson (LTT 473), 15 years after the Road
Danger Reduction Forum suggested that the official measure of safety
on the road – aggregated casualty numbers – is an inadequate
or even contra-indicating measure, says “Road safety – are
we measuring the right thing?”.
He does not consider how increased danger can lead to reduced casualties
among vulnerable road user groups scared off increasingly hazardous roads,
or how lower casualty numbers in a road user group can mask increased
casualties per journey for such a group. Nor is there any consideration
of the difference between endangering other road users and being endangered
by them. Still, never mind, maybe in another 15 years…
Dr.
Robert Davis
Secretary, Road Danger Reduction Forum
PO Box 2944
LONDON NW10
2AX

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